Today we present you our Tim Stutzle 2025-26 point projection. Not to go out on a limb or anything, but lock this Ottawa Senator star into your daily fantasy team lineup. If you study Stutzle’s career totals, there are a few certainties. So, let’s dive in and discuss the trends, linear and non, that you might notice with him.
Tim Stutzle Point Projection for the Sens in 25-26
Let’s not beat around the bush. There’s one aspect that really drives Stutzle’s point totals, and that is his power play time. With names like Brady Tkachuk and Jake Sanderson, along with two other studs, whether that’s Shane Pinto, Drake Batherson, Dylan Cozens, Claude Giroux, David Perron, the list keeps going, this is a potent power play. Even though the names have changed, one constant has remained, and that is that they have been efficient and effective. Moreover, Stutzle himself has consistently been a top performer on it. Therefore, at this point of Stutzle’s career, we can only anticipate him to maximize his output.
One part of Tim Stutzle’s point projection that will be driven by his power play work is his assist total. In the last four years, he has had 19, 18, 19, and then broke out last year with 28 power play assists. Look for him to approach that value again in 2025-26. In terms of total assists, based on his personal career trend, he will be over 50, and likely improve upon his previous years’ total. In fact, in each of his five NHL seasons, he has improved on his previous year’s total. Quite impressive. As a note, last year he had 55. An increase over that amount isn’t a guarantee, but do not expect him to settle for any less.
Narrowing In On Stutzle’s Potential Goal Total
So, what about Stutzle’s goal total? Unfortunately, for prognosticators there is little, if any, temporal trend to his totals. Over the past four seasons, he has played at least 75 games. His goal totals have ranged from his career high (39 in 2022-23), followed by just 18 the following campaign. Now, we will note that season he was susceptible to a wrist injury that definitely impacted his deceptively hard and accurate shot.
One way to look at how many goals to expect from Stutzle, does depend on who are his linemates. If he takes 200 shots, and hits his career average of 13.2% shooting percentage, we could get a baseline for his total. However, he could up that closer to his 2022-23 totals. That year, he was over 17% shooting percentage and took nearly 230 shots-on-goal. Therefore, you can easily have a varied range between 25 and 40 tucks. It really depends if he is more of shooter or a playmaker on his line. The cool thing with Stutzle, is that he can be both. However, the idea is that he is probably more effective if he is shooting, given his explosiveness and ability to create space.
He could end up on the higher end of the prospective goal range flanked by a high-performing playmaker. Of course, he may have to settle for having that luxury only on the power play. For example, Giroux or Batherson would come to mind for such a role.
So, as we like to mention, point projections are very difficult because of factors like injuries and linemates. In general, distribution of ice time, because one year Stutzle found himself killing penalties regularly. At the time, that was fine, putting him in high pressure, high intensity situations, and it allowed him to thrive in his career development. It would only pay dividends. However, the tendency is, players killing penalties, get tired and their offence struggles. Of course, there are exceptions as Mitch Marner comes to mind. But the hope is for Stutzle, he will maximize his extra ice time on the power play, late in games, and offensive situations.
Let’s Put It All Together
Sometimes you have to roll with the punches. Moreover, Stutzle has done that to this point of his career. Now, look for him to have a huge 2025-26 season. He, along with many on this Sens core, look to put it all together. For Stutzle, we are talking 25-30 goals, 55-60 assists, for somewhere around 85 points. But we think he can do that in his sleep. His career high is 90 after all. If things click for him, and his to-be-determined linemates, there’s no reason he can’t breakout. Maybe Stutzle can hit as much as 110 in 2025-26. If Tkachuk is burying 45 goals, and the other winger scores, even just 75 points, it is achievable. Also, if you aren’t putting up 75 points playing with Stutzle and Tkachuk, are you even a top-line winger?
Again, that is a fairly big range, somewhere between 85 and 110 points. To get to the top end of the spectrum, the power play would really have to be clicking. From a logistical standpoint, you can see it is difficult to high that ceiling. Even though he did previously hit 39, 40-45 goals are a bit of stretch, especially when he gets the number of assists he can get. However, the assist total of 60-65, isn’t out of the realm of possibilities. In terms of who that winger is to combine with Stutzle and Tkachuk, it is tough to have those expectations from Fabian Zetterlund, or even Claude Giroux at this point of his career. That is likely why 110 is a stretch, but 90 is very much achievable.
Main Photo Credit: Eric Bolte-Imagn Images
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