Andre from UnitedGamblers.com beat Thanksgiving traffic to get to MetLife this weekend. He has been appearing on JetNation throughout the 2025 NFL season to provide betting information, tips, and predictions for the New York Jets and the NFL. Gang Green is back home for Week 13 to face birds from a different flock.
Although the Jets have shown signs of improvement lately, they weren’t good enough to overcome the Ravens last weekend. That loss may have clinched another losing season, but at least they weren’t the first team officially eliminated from the playoffs like their MetLife roommates.
Marching on with this season, New York has a rare NFC foe lined up on Sunday afternoon, the Atlanta Falcons. Those Falcons won on the road with a backup QB last Sunday, snapping a long five-game losing streak.
Can the Jets send the Falcons spiraling again? Keep reading to find out the odds, stats, and picks for this matchup. For anyone going to the game, check out the great selection of New Jersey sports betting sites available if you want to tail our picks for the week.
Matchup: Atlanta Falcons @ New York Jets
Venue: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey
Date and Time: Sunday, November 30, 2025, at 1:00 p.m. EST
New York Jets vs. Atlanta Falcons Odds
|
Team
|
Spread
|
Total
|
Moneyline
|
|
Falcons
|
-2.5 (-118)
|
Over 39.5 (-110)
|
-152 |
|
Jets
|
+2.5 (-104)
|
Under 39.5 (-110)
|
+128 |
(Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook and subject to change)
New York Jets Money Line vs. Falcons: +128 via FanDuel Sportsbook
Winning hasn’t been common for the 2025 Jets, but it’s the best way to get value on the team in this game. The odds of a loss by two or fewer points aren’t very high. Besides, the Falcons are only 2-4 on the road and have dropped their last three games as the betting favorites.
Atlanta has a few holes the Jets can exploit, starting with their run defense. The Falcons are 26th in rushing yards allowed per game and 23rd in yards allowed per carry. New York’s offense is top-10 in both of those stats and can join the recent list of teams to run amok on Atlanta.
Offensively, the Falcons average just as many points per game (19.9) as the Jets and are also trotting out their QB2 for the remainder of the season. That’s a group New York can keep in check.
Now, there are reasons to be wary of the Jets’ moneyline, outside of what the record tells you. The Falcons’ pass rush is third in sacks this season, and pass protection has been an issue for New York, to say the least. Atlanta is also +5 in turnover differential (t-7th in the NFL), whereas the Jets are -13 (last) because they only have one takeaway all year long.
The Jets have a blueprint to win this game, especially at home. If you want to bet on their success, the moneyline is a better option than the spread.
Jets vs. Falcons Total Pick: Under 39.5 (-110) via Bet365
Both of these teams average fewer than 20 points per game. Each side is running with a backup QB and likely down their top WR. On a day that’s supposed to be rainy, scoring should be at a premium.
The Jets are coming off consecutive games with fewer than 15 points scored. When their offense is working on Sunday, it’ll likely be on the ground and chewing the clock, which’ll limit possessions. When it isn’t, sacks and incompletions will kill drives.
The Falcons only average 17.3 points as a visiting team. If the Jets can contain Bijan Robinson, Kirk Cousins shouldn’t be able to beat them with his arm. That’s the biggest key to this total, let alone the game.
It feels more likely that the wet conditions, injuries, and overall struggles will favor a low-scoring battle. The under is probably the smarter call here.
New York Jets Prop Bet of the Week: Breece Hall Over 70.5 Rushing Yards (-110) via Bet365
Last week’s Breece Hall prop hit with ease, as he combined for 119 rushing + receiving yards when he only needed 81. Unfortunately, the line for that particular prop is up across the board, but his rushing total is a sweet alternative.
Like Baltimore last Sunday, Atlanta has struggled to contain running backs. They’ve allowed opposing RBs to average 104.5 rushing yards per game. The Falcons also allow 4.6 yards per rush attempt.
Due to injuries, Hall is the undisputed lead for this offense, let alone the rushing attack. In most games, he’s getting 14+ carries, including seven of New York’s last eight contests. When Hall has had at least 14 carries in a game this season, he averages 84.8 rushing yards.
With a weak run defense awaiting on Sunday and wet weather likely leading to more carries, expect Breece Hall to breeze past 70 rushing yards.
The post Jets vs. Falcons Betting Preview | Week 13 2025 appeared first on JetNation.com – New York Jets Blog & Forum.