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Simulations don’t offer good news for New York Giants

July 26, 2025 by Big Blue View

New York Giants Training Camp
Photo by Ishika Samant/Getty Images

It seems like the numbers keep coming up the same

One-hundred simulations or 10,000, the result seems to come up the same in terms of expectations for the 2025 New York Giants.

When BBV’s Chris Pflum ran the Pro Football and Sports Network simulator 100 times back in May the result was a predicted 5-12 record for the Giants. The folks at PFSN recently ran 10,000 simulations of the season and came up with roughly the same results.

  • Projected Win-Loss Record: 5.5-11.5
  • Playoff Probability: 3.6%
  • Divisional Probability: 0.2%
  • Super Bowl Probability: 0.0%

PFSN says:

Brian Daboll remains the head coach of the New York Giants after an abysmal 3-14 season in 2024. While he feels like a lame duck coach in the waiting, they did improve their roster with additions like Abdul Carter, Paulson Adebo and Jevon Holland.

The Giants’ chances of improving in 2025 hinge on their quarterback play. Russell Wilson projects as their starter but is coming off a rocky year in Pittsburgh. Jameis Winston and Jaxson Dart sit behind him on the depth chart; could one of them take over as the starter by the time the season ends?

Interestingly, Las Vegas oddsmakers have set the over/under at exactly 5.5, the same number PFSN’s simulator comes up with.

The Giants are hoping that their vastly improved defensive personnel will keep them in games, and that Russell Wilson’s continued ability to throw the deep ball will create offense and help the Giants surprise this season.

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Filed Under: Giants

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