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Where St. John’s men’s basketball stands in midseason analytics

December 28, 2024 by Rumble In The Garden

Dec 20, 2024; Providence, Rhode Island, USA; St. John’s Red Storm guard Deivon Smith (5) shoots a layup against Providence Friars guard Corey Floyd Jr. (14) during the second half at Amica Mutual Pavilion. Mandatory Credit: Eric Canha-Imagn Images
Eric Canha-Imagn Images

The stats love the Red Storm as they enter their final non-conference game of the season

Through 12 games of the season, St. John’s appears on track to live up to their high preseason expectations. Even though the Red Storm don’t have a signature résumé-defining win yet, they have blown out bad opponents and have only lost to Baylor and Georgia, who are both teams who could be in the field of 68.

Various predictive and point-per-possession metrics also indicate the Red Storm’s tournament-caliber quality. Here is where St. John’s stands in the numbers, as of December 27, 2024.

KenPom

  • Ranked 12th in Net Rating (NetRtg) with +22.70 (second-best in Big East)
  • 29th-best offense in country (117.6 in adjustive offensive rating)
  • 12th-best defense in country (94.9 in adjusted defensive rating)
  • 65th-fastest team in country (70.9 in adjusted tempo).

NET

  • Ranked 28th in the country (third-best in Big East)
  • 1-2 record in Quad 1 games (defeated No. 75 Providence on road)
  • 0-0 record in Quad 2 games
  • 9-0 record in Quad 3/4 games

BartTorvik

  • Ranked 18th in the country (second-best in Big East)
  • 33rd-best offense in country (117.3 in adjusted offensive rating)
  • 20th-best defense in country (95.9 in adjusted defensive rating)
  • 67th-fastest team in the country (71.0 in adjusted tempo)
  • 32nd-best in country with wins above bubble (+1.0)
  • 7-seed in T-Ranketology (94.8 % chance of making tournament)

Haslametrics

  • Ranked 21st in the country in all-play percentage with 94.5% (second-best in Big East)
  • 28th-best offense in country (119.68 in adjusted offensive rating)
  • 21st-best defense in country (94.03 in adjusted defensive rating)
  • 25th-best record quality in country (0.395)

EvanMiya

  • Ranked 24th in the country in relative rating (20.8)
  • 38th-best offense in country (9.9 in O-rate)
  • 16th-best defense in country (10.9 in D-rate)
  • 49th-fastest team in the country (71.9 in True Tempo)

Filed Under: St John's

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