The time has come for President Donald Trump to provoke his base of support and recover from a series of self-defeating alarms among Republicans who fear he will lose to White House Democrat Joe Biden.
A two-punch of Trump’s corona virus diagnosis and his widely debated performance make Republicans worried he could lose control of the Senate. For more than three weeks until election day, Senate races are competing in some credible red states, including South Carolina and Kansas, which are fueling the rise of democratic fundraising, which has put both the Republican Party and Trump’s own campaign at an unexpected financial disadvantage.
The president will restore this week that an aggressive travel schedule and Judge Amy Connie Barrett’s Supreme Court confirmation hearings will excite his most loyal supporters and divert attention from a virus that has killed more than 214,000 Americans.
Believers in the president’s inner circle point to his unique ability to attract attention and his 2016 campaign, which seemed doomed to failure before it was too late. But that comeback was aided by external forces against an unpopular opponent. This year’s campaign, worries other Republicans, may instead resemble 1980 or 2008: a close race, in the end, it’s not decisive.
“This is not good for my party,” said Wit Ayers, a senior GOP pollster. “Frankly, in many ways Republicans are on the boat with Donald Trump. This is good for Republicans in the deep red states, but it’s more complicated for those in the swing states. ”
When asked if there are any bright spots for the Republicans, Ayres said, “I’m going around my brain, fighting.”
This account of Trump’s re-election attempt was compiled from interviews with nearly two dozen White House and campaign officials and Republicans close to the Western faction, many of whom did not have the authority to discuss private conversations publicly. It describes how a campaign that usually lasts for months can withstand a series of historical shocks.
Republicans began to feel the alarm last month.
The death of Supreme Court Judge Ruth Bader Ginsburg was the death of conservatives but the death of the electrified Democrats paid the tsunami money for Biden and the lower-vote Democrats. Trump’s much-ridiculed debating performance exacerbated the problem because even his own supporters saw him as rude because of Pitton’s frequent interruptions.
Reviewing the data later, campaign aides were alarmed to see Trump’s support begin to slip. The president’s corona virus diagnosis has exacerbated the problem, especially with older voters.
“This is not good,” said Alex Conant, senior campaign adviser on Sen. Marco Rubio’s 2016 presidential campaign. “It’s been a long time since any good news came to Donald Trump. When he gets good news, he’ll get into it.”
The Trump campaign insists it can win re-election of the president, saying his return to the road will boost his base, while saying the referendum has reduced their supporters.
But national referendums have shown Pita with a significant presence. While marginalized in war-torn states, Trump faced a stubborn deficit in most states deciding elections.
Sen. of R-Texas. Ted Cruz said on Friday that if people were depressed on election day, “we think we will lose both the White House and Congress, it could be the bloodbath of the Watergate ratio.” In the two national elections since the resignation of Republican President Richard Nixon in 1974, Democrats have significantly increased their congressional majority and withdrawn from the White House.
Counselors personally agree that Trump, who has not moderated the tone of the virus since becoming ill, is unlikely to succeed without Florida, which will be the site of his first post-diagnosis rally on Monday. Trump should hold Pennsylvania to account for the loss in Arizona.
“She is OK. On every traditional measuring stick, it looks like a landslide, ”said Ari Fleischer, former press secretary to President George W. Bush. “It’s hard to predict what will happen in Congress, but whenever there is a large-scale victory, it has the potential to create waves to expel the people.”
The Senate’s fate is growing over concerned deep-seated Republicans in Maine, Colorado, Arizona and North Carolina, as well as deep red Kansas. Some Trump supporters now say GOP Senate candidates are in an infiltrating position, and some, including Sense. John Corn of Texas and Martha Maxley of Arizona have recently taken small steps to distance themselves from the presidency.
Don Eberhardt, a leading GOP donor and Trump supporter, said there was no doubt that Trump’s handling of the epidemic was reducing support for lower-vote Republicans, which could lead to a Democratic government victory.
“I believe it was wrong in the elections,” Eberhardt said. “But the Republicans … need to develop a campaign strategy that is determined to protect the Senate at all costs, even if it means sacrificing the Oval Office.”
A significant opportunity to change the course of the race is Barrett’s Senate confirmation hearings this week. Trump’s campaign hopes that these inquiries will draw attention to Biden’s refusal to say whether he will remove the political stories from the virus and expand the Supreme Court.
The Trump campaign hopes the president’s return to the campaign trail will shift the story from COVID and an economic closing argument – 56% in a gallon poll this week said that despite the epidemic, it was better than it was four years ago – a winner.
“If we believe the public media polls, we will now talk about the re-election of Hillary Clinton,” said Tim Murdoch, the campaign’s communications director. “The choice of this campaign reduces this: Who do you trust to restore the economy to glory, the president who has already done it once, already doing it, or Joe Biden and his 47-year record in Washington?”